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HomeMy WebLinkAboutTraffic Stop Report.pptICPD Traffic Stop Study Examined traffic stop data from 2005 — 2012 2008 & 2009 omitted due to missing data Census and Observer Data Observations Total Percentage 2010 Census % White 19,391 88.14 82.5 Black 843 3.83 5.8 Asian 854 3.88 6.9 Other 912 4.15 4.8 Grand total 22,000 100.00 100.00 *X2 = 148.68. p -.999, r =.989 Percentages 2005 Race Total stops Percentage White 8394 84% Black 892 9% Hispanic 320 3% Asian 242 2% Other 127 1% Unknown 19 .1% Native 7 .1% Grand Total 10001 100% IQPI PARK W> le MELROSE AVE W Z cou TON 114, top, ST KfJSCAT BENTON ST 9, AVE ---- - ----- I 2005 by Beat Race 1 2 Beat Number 3 4 5 Totals Stops Percentage White 1064 2888 2410 1117 693 8394 84% Black 117 357 142 165 95 892 9% Hispanic 42 130 56 54 32 320 3% Asian 45 73 51 40 26 242 2% Other 20 50 27 18 10 127 1% Unknown 4 5 3 1 6 19 0% Native 1 3 2 1 7 0% Grand Total 1293 3506 2691 1395 863 10001 100% Min. Percentage 14% 16% 9% 17% 17% 14% 2005 by Beat 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Seriesl Percentages 2006 Race Total Stops Percent White 9941 82% Black 1148 9% Hispanic 463 4% Asian 289 2% Native 5 .1% Other 230 2% Unknown 27 .1% Grand Total 12,103 100% 2006 by Beat Race 1 2 Beat Number 3 4 5 Totals Stops Percentage White 2177 3745 1960 1008 906 9796 82% Black 249 499 129 112 148 1137 10% Hispanic 100 198 53 42 59 452 4% Asian 54 87 52 53 38 284 2% Other 56 71 38 37 24 226 1% Unknown 7 8 8 4 27 <1% Native 1 1 3 5 <1% Grand Total 2643 4609 2241 1252 1182 11927 100% Min. Percentage 15% 17% 10% 15% 20% 15% 2006 by Beat 20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Seriesl Percentages 2007 Race Total Stops Percent White 7105 83% Black 734 9% Hispanic 341 4% Asian 227 3% Native 3 .1% Other 105 1% Unknown 11 .1% Grand Total 8526 100% 2007 by Beat Race 1 2 Beat Number 3 4 5 Totals Stops Percentage White 930 2776 1213 1089 745 8394 83% Black 121 251 131 89 104 892 9% Hispanic 38 148 43 34 61 320 4% Asian 425 66 47 50 25 242 3% Other 13 31 14 23 21 127 1% Unknown 2 1 5 1 2 19 <1% Native 1 2 7 <1% Grand Total 1129 3273 1454 1286 960 8102 100% Min. Percentage 15% 13% 13% 11% 19% 14% 2007 by Beat 20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Seriesl Percentages 2010 Race Total Stops Percent White 9311 77% Black 1527 13% Hispanic 593 5% Asian 372 3% Native 6 .1% Other 173 1% Unknown 66 .1% Grand Total 12048 100% ■ 2010 by Bear Race 1 2 Beat Number 3 4 5 Stops Totals Percentage White 1677 1729 1758 1869 1588 8621 77% Black 183 451 323 190 285 1432 13% Hispanic 72 181 118 73 121 565 5% Asian 60 73 85 62 59 339 3% Other 26 19 29 42 54 170 2% Unknown 6 33 1 2 7 49 <1% Native 1 2 2 5 <1% Grand Total 2025 2488 2314 2238 2116 11181 100% Beat Percentage 14% 26% 20% 14% 22% 19% ■ 2010 by Beat 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% ■ Seriesl Percentages 2011 Race Total Stops Percent White 10124 76% Black 1489 11% Hispanic 627 5% Asian 419 3% Native 25 .1% Other 165 1% Unknown 485 4% Grand Total 13334 100% 2011 by Beat Race 1 2 Beat Number 3 4 5 Totals Stops Percentage White 2262 2663 1599 1993 254 8771 76% Black 232 682 222 159 65 1360 12% Hispanic 122 242 100 62 21 547 5% Asian 94 121 74 68 14 371 3% Other 34 46 29 18 5 132 1% Unknown 40 77 86 98 4 305 3% Native 3 5 1 11 1 21 <1% Grand Total 2787 3836 2111 2409 364 11507 100% Min. Percentage 14% 25% 17% 10% 25% 18% 2011 by Beat 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Seriesl Percentages 2012 Race Total Stops Percent White 9122 74% Black 1385 11% Hispanic 579 5% Asian 528 4% Native 52 .1% Other 194 2% Unknown 507 4% Grand Total 12367 100% 2012 by Bea Race 1 2 Beat Number 3 4 5 Totals Stops Percentage White 2273 1863 2422 1843 181 8771 75% Black 251 427 272 284 60 1360 11% Hispanic 88 172 144 126 19 547 5% Asian 143 89 125 118 15 371 4% Other 44 50 58 27 4 132 2% Unknown 141 40 78 47 2 305 2% Native 13 8 10 17 2 21 <1% Grand Total 2953 2469 3109 2462 283 11412 100% Min. Percentage 13% 25% 15% 18% 29% 18% 2012 by Beat 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% ■ Seriesl Beat 2 over time 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2005 2006 2007 2010 2011 2012 Seriesl Beat 5 over time 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2005 2006 2007 2010 2011 2012 Seriesl Beat 3 over time 20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2005 2006 2007 2010 2011 2012 Seriesl Beat 1 and 4 over time 15.50% 15.00% 14.50% 14.00% 13.50% 13.00% 12.50% 12.00% 11.50% 2005 2006 2007 2010 2011 2012 15.50% 15.00% 14.50% 14.00% 13.50% 13.00% 12.50% 12.00% 11.50% ■ Seriesl 2005 2006 2007 2010 2011 2012 Seriesl Generalizations The percentage of minority drivers stopped significantly increased from 2005 — 2007 levels The increase in the percentage of minority drivers stopped was chiefly driven by significant increases in minority driver stops on beat -two, beat -three and among officers not assigned to a beat (designated as beat -five officers). The Baseline Observations Total Percentage 2010 Census % White 19,391 88.14 82.5 Black 843 3.83 5.8 Asian 854 3.88 6.9 Other 912 4.15 4.8 Grand total 22,000 100.00 100.00 *X2 = 148.68.p =.999, r =.989 Beat 2 16.7% North = 6.10% South = 15.79% Total = 10.62% 7.17% 1.77% A NE AVE 5.44% � 15.08 s i ne percentage of African- Americans uving in seiectea zuiu oeat -two diocK -grow{ . MELROSE AVE w ... Ni 9.45% •.� , 27.08% ! 19.81% 11.10% wap 4 Nercentages of minority arroers iaentinea dy roaasiae ooservers in Zuii & Zuis 4 1, :ao�.afi� North = 8.83% South = 11.55% Total = 10.19% in oroaaway area ",K ,l ? 3 'ASI ROSE AVE ll� a S unt IR I S' -r1 SCAT •� /B j §J BEN 1OA_•;T AVE �aONRtT� j JIB/ 40.00% Percentage of African - America students in Beat -Two schools Year SE NW NC Wood Twain Lucas Dist. Total 2005 -2006 16.13 14.04 16.02 28.61 45.71 17.81 13.38% 2006 -2007 14.39 17.26 10.06 31.89 44.21 19.25 14.42% 2007 -2008 19.97 17.54 10.89 36.26 50.38 15.42 16.55% 2008 -2009 18.72 18.97 9.75 31.96 45.02 14.86 15.96% 2009 -2010 19.17 18.97 11.84 38.23 41.77 15.35 16.16% 2010 -2011 17.48 17.58 12.00 39.35 38.68 16.55 16.22% lap 6 Summary of census, observation and school analyses j PARK RD %I Y MFLROSE AVE W 10 l � o Q ti. 3 u } a t COURT ST r F,IUSCATm AVE Grant Wood Elementary � f + 20 % in this area. 10% or less elsewhere in beat -two Baseline Summary It's unlikely that the baseline percentage of minority drivers on the road increased in a significant way during the study period in beat- two. NOTE the percentages by race from 2001 Louisville study were: W= 84% 0 =7% Consequently, increases in disproportionality for ICPD traffic stops on beat -two likely stem from changes in patrol procedures. The estimated violent crime rates per 100,000 residents in Iowa City 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Estimated Violent Crime Rates Ol O ti N M t M kD n W M O O� 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ti ti ti N N N N N N N N N N N N N N — Estimated Violent Crime Rates Violent crime rate for neighborhoods located in the south side of beat - two South Neighborhoods Violent Crime 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Wetherby 35 16 16 8 18 27 25 10 15 13 South Pointe 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 Pepperwood 7 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 Hilltop 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 Grant Wood 23 11 9 13 25 20 26 19 19 22 South 2Totals 65 28 25 22 43 47 53 29 36 39 Crime rate for year 746.27 32147 287.03 252.58 493.69 539.61 608.50 33295 413.32 447.76 Violent crime rate for neighborhoods located in the north side of beat - two North Noighborhoodr Viola ntCrime 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Village Green 1 1 1 1 4 1 1 2 2 1 1 Lucas farms 15 6 5 10 8 9 8 6 4 6 South Fast 1 21 11 5 7 9 7 7 7 12 7 Longfellow 5 3 0 3 1 2 3 2 0 2 Creek Side 5 6 3 5 7 0 7 6 3 4 Friendship 12 4 7 4 8 5 3 6 1 8 Morningside 5 3 0 2 0 1 2 1 2 1 North 2totals 64 34 21 35 34 25 32 30 23 29 Crime rate for year 529.23 281.15 173.65 289.42 281.15 206.73 264.62 248.08 190.19 239. Summary for this section • Observation and census analyses show that the baseline of the percentage of minority drivers on the roads of Iowa city equaled roughly 10% during the study period • In 2005 - 2007 levels of disproportionality in ICPD stops were comparatively low • Levels of disproportionality significantly increased in 2010 and remained stable though 2012 • The increase was not likely due to changes in the proportions of minority drivers on the roads of Iowa City • Disproportionality increased more on beat -two than other beats during the study period. • ICPD modified patrol procedures in 2008 -09 in response to perceived increased violent crime in Iowa City. These modifications include the formation of a new sub -beat located within beat -two. This sub -beat is located in an area characterized by a higher percentage of minority residents than other areas of beat -two (or Iowa City). ■ The Disparity Index % Minority Drivers Ratio of Minority to Baseline 10% /O/o of White Drivers Ratio of White to Baseline Scores > 1.0 Indicate Disproportionality 90% 2005 Descriptives Mean 1.71 a 1.03 Skew 1.45 .00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 odds ratio Officer Odds Ratio Beat Stops 4.91 5 51 4.37 2 263 3.70 2 508 3.50 2 50 2.86 4 83 2.55 2 181 2.51 2 261 odds-2006 Officer Odds Ratio Beat Stops 6.0 5 25 5.5 2 776 4.95 5 31 4.91 1 51 4.6 2 77 3.5 2 223 3.0 4 40 2.8 1 445 2.7 4 144 2.6 2 417 2006 Descriptives Mean 2.00 a 1.44 Skew 1.56 2007 Descriptives Mean 1.75 a 1.07 Skew 1.31 .00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 odds ratioU Officer Odds Ratio Beat Stops 5.17 2 359 3.98 1 186 3.78 3 216 3.77 2 159 3.29 4 56 2.94 1 65 2.83 5 380 odds-2010 Officer Odds Ratio Beat Stops 9.00 5 70 7.41 2 186 5.75 3 231 5.31 4 264 4.53 5 233 4.22 2 47 3.60 2 35 2010 Descriptives Mean 2.56 0 1.81 Skew 1.52 Descriptives 2011 Mean 2.31 a 1.74 Skew 2.03 .00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 odds ratio11 Officer Odds Ratio Beat Stops 9.00 5 22 7.43 2 418 6.88 2 337 6.08 3 129 5.73 5 18 5.27 2 203 5.20 3 112 4.45 2 248 4.15 5 171 3.38 1 22 3.13 2 190 Descriptives 2012 Mean 2.32 a 1.54 Skew 1.99 .00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 odds ratioU Officer Odds Ratio Beat Stops 9.33 2 55 5.59 2 -A 261 4.76 5 52 4.37 2 266 4.29 3 96 4.22 1 144 4.16 2 313 3.90 5 139 3.82 2 218 3.76 t 112 3.61 2 199 3.50 t 26 3.38 4 461 3.38 2 282 Summary for Disparity Index Analyses Levels of disproportionality among ICPD officers were comparatively low in 2005 — 2007 Levels of disproportionality significantly increased in 2010 and remained stable in 2011 and 2012. In general, officers assigned to beat -two or beat -five demonstrated the highest levels of disproportionality in 2010 — 2012 traffic stops. Descriptives 2010 beat 2 Mean 3.89 0 1.83 Skew .48 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 odds10 Officer Odds Ratio Beat Stops 7.41 2 -A 186 6.15 2 -A 69 6.03 2 -A 137 4.91 2 -A 266 4.42 2 -A 367 4.22 2 47 3.60 2 35 2.76 2 196 2.66 2 -A 269 2.33 2 102 2.12 2 291 1.75 2 159 1.29 2 183 Descriptives 2010 beat 5 Mean 3.69 0 2.50 Skew 1.55 00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 beat2_odds_10 Officer Odds Ratio Beat Stops 9.00 float /scat 70 4.53 k9 float 233 3.06 float 323 2.79 float 283 2.66 float 35 2.2 float /scat 56 2.12 float 189 1.68 k9 float 918 Descriptives 2011 beat 2 Mean 3.26 0 1.96 Skew 1.15 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 odd11 Officer Odds Ratio Beat Stops 7.427948 2 418 6.879581 2 337 5.273438 2 203 4.445783 2 248 3.12766 2 190 2.616279 2 333 2.595092 2 210 2.273684 2 238 2.076923 2 128 2.076923 2 80 1.979253 2 294 1.774038 2 249 1.738636 2 210 1.431818 2 204 Descriptives2011 beat 5 Mean 5.04 a 3.21 Skew .107 .00 21-11-1 4 1i 1 1-.1-10 8.00 10.00 odd11 Officer Odds ratio Beat Stops (L) 9.0 float /scat 22 (V) 5.72 float /scat 18 (H) 1.30 k9 /float 142 (Q) 4.15 k9 /float 171 I Descriptives 2012 beat 2 Mean 3.55 0 2.29 Skew 1.25 .00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 odds12 Officer Odds Ratio Beat Stops 9.33 2 55 5.59 2 263 4.37 2 270 4.18 2 315 3.82 2 219 3.54 2 202 3.38 2 284 2.56 2 293 1.94 2 126 1.69 2 171 1.10 2 302 1.02 2 149 I I-11-1 ^ on 3.00 4.00 5.00 odds12 Officer Odds Ratio Beat Stops 4.76 Scat /float 52 3.90 k9 /float 140 2.48 float 75 1.84 k9 /float 59 Descriptives 2012 beat 5 Mean 3.24 0 1.33 Skew .089 2005 Outcomes Citations Citations No Yes Total Percent of Stops Minority 831 530 1361 14% W & A 4592 4044 8636 86% Total 5423 4574 9997 100% Received Citations No Yes Minority Percent Cited 61% 39% W & A Percent Cited 53% 47% 2005 Odds Ratio for citations = .724 (1.38) 2005 Outcomes Arrests Arrests No Yes Total Minority 1230 131 1361 W & A 8288 348 8636 Grand Total 9518 479 9997 Arrests No Yes Minority Percent Arrested 90% 10% W & A Percent Arrested 96% 4% 2005 Odds Ratio for arrests = 2.54 2005 Outcomes Search Requests Consent Request No Yes Total Minority 1299 61 1360 W & A 8479 157 8636 Grand Total 9778 218 9996 Consent Search Requests No Yes Mi no rity Percent Requested 96% 4% W & A Percent Requested 98% 2% 2005 Odds Ratio for consent search requests = 2.54 2005 Outcomes Hit Rates Search Hits No Yes Total Minority Hits 54 7 61 W & A 130 27 157 Grand Total 184 34 218 Minority Hits 89% 11% W & A Hits 83% 17% 2005 Odds Ratio for hit rates = .624 (1.60) Citations Minority Odds 2005 0.72 2006 0.67 2007 0.86 2010 1.18 2011 1.38 2012 1.44 Arrests - - -- 2005 2.54 2006 2.82 2007 2.61 2010 3.08 2011 3.18 2012 2.55 Search Requests - - -- 2005 2.54 2006 3.42 2007 5.62 2010 2.75 2011 3.89 2012 2.44 Hit Rates - - -- 2005 0.62 2006 1.20 2007 0.34 2010 0.44 2011 0.78 2012 0.87