HomeMy WebLinkAbout2018-08-21 Traffic Stop Power pointICPD TRAFFIC STOP
ANALYSIS
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THE NUMBER OF ST
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Department
Days
Nights
12805
2595
10210
TRAFFIC OBSERVAm
►2015 traffic observations = 27,032
o. 2007-2012 traffic observations = 28,951
► Total traffic observations = 55,983
TRAFFIC OBSERVATIONS 2007-2015
►Zone 21 traffic observations = 11,880
► Zone 29 traffic observations = 8.114
► Other zones traffic observations = 7,038
► Spread over zones 27, 28, 30 and 38
► Observations made from 9/01/15 through 2/28/16
2015 OBSERVATIONS WE FOCUSED ON
ZONES WHERE MOST STOPS WERE MADE
Previous traffic stop observations and 2010 Census
Bureau data suggest that about 10% of the drivers on
the roads in most areas of Iowa City are minority
drivers—both days and nights.
2015 traffic observations are most
► Percentage white
► Percentage African-American
► Percentage Hispanic/other
► Percentage Asian
► Percentage minority (total)
ZONE 21
89.00%
04.00%
03.00%
04.00%
07.00
DAYS (DOWNTOWN AREA)
► Percentage white
► Percentage African-American
► Percentage Hispanic/other
► Percentage Asian
► Percentage minority (total)
ZONE 21
74.00
16.00
02.00
08.00
18.00
NIGHTS (DOWNTOWN AREA)
► Percentage white
► Percentage African-American
► Percentage Hispanic/other
► Percentage Asian
► Percentage minority (total)
7 3.0 0
23.00
02.00
02.00
25.00
ZONE 29 DAYS (BROADWAY AREA)
► Percentage white
► Percentage African-American
► Percentage Hispanic/other
► Percentage Asian
► Percentage minority (total)
68.00%
31.00
01.00 170
< 01.00%
32.00
ZONE 29 NIGHTS (BROADWAY AREA)
► Percentage white
► Percentage African-American
► Percentage Hispanic/other
► Percentage Asian
► Percentage minority (total)
ZONE 30 DAYS & NIGHTS
78.00
15.00
02.00
< 05.00%
17.00
► Percentage white
► Percentage African-American
► Percentage Hispanic/other
► Percentage Asian
► Percentage minority (total)
ZONE 28 DAYS & NIGHTS
86.00
13.00
< 01.00%
< 01.00%
14.00
Please keep in mind that roadside
observations are simply a sample of the
drivers on the roads. As such, the values
indicated in the results should be treated as
estimates with a fairly generous confidence
interval
► POLICE DATA 2016
DAYS
'go
Number of Stops per Zone Days
0
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Zone
W,
N
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Percent of Minority Drivers Stopped and Benchmarks Days
0 13 20 21 22 27 28 29 30
Stops Percentage Benchmark Percentage
► The highest degrees of disproportionality tends to be
concentrated in areas where the fewest stops were made
► A disparity index shows that the average degree of
dispro
areas of town was approximately
benchmark values!
han the corresponding
► The index gives a ballpark estimate of disproportionality.
AVERAGE DISPARITY ACROSS ZONES
NIGHTS
O
O
O
Number of Stops per Zone. Nights
M
VIVI�IV IV � Ullll 11 11 jll(IfDI(fII(01(I(i'MAU''AlAmmitiauu. .
Percent
Minority Drivers Stopped
Benchmarks.
Ights
► The highest degrees of disproportionality is concentrated in
areas where the fewest stops were made
► A disparity index shows that the average degree of
values.
ir 00.
ss all areas of town was approximately
higher than the corresponding benchmark
The index gives a ballpark estimate of disproportionality.
AVERAGE DISPARITY ACROSS ZONES
DEPARTMENT
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Zone
Percentage of Minority Drivers Stopped and Benchmarks. All
► The highest degrees of disproportionality is concentrated in
areas where the fewest stops were made
► A disparity index shows that the average degree of
across all areas of town was approximately
benchmark values!
igher than the corresponding
► The index gives a ballpark estimate of disproportionality.
AVERAGE DISPARITY ACROSS ZONES
Assignment
Days
Nights
Department
Delta
5 pts.
5 pts.
Stops
3,650
9,200
12.850
OFFICER LEVEL AN
(% Minority / Min. Benchmark) : (% W&A / W&A Benchmark)
0
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Disparity Index
Median = 1.94
9W, Percentile = 2.88
W
Median = 1.43
9W, percentile = 2.43
OUTCOMES
► (Minority-yes/Minority-no) : (White-yes/White-no)
► Values > 1 suggest disproportionality
ODDS -RATIOS
Time of Day
Type of Violation
Reason for Stop
Area of Town
Driver
Simple OR = 0.67
minority
white
Total
no yes
506 2,579
1,122
1,628
WARNINGS
8,455
11,034
Total
3,085
9,577
12,662
Multivariate OR= 0.72. (1.38)
Simple OR = 1.29
no yes Total
minority
29649
436
39085
white
89497
19080
99577
Total 119146 19516 129662
CITATIONS
Multivariate OR = 1.38
Simple OR = 1.90
no yes Total
minority 29770 315 39085
white 99037 540 99577
Total 119807 855 129662
ARRESTS
Multivariate OR = 1.56
Simple OR = 1.90
no yes Total
minority 29811 274 39085
white 99037 540 99577
Total 119807 855 129662
Multivariate OR = 1.55
For stops not including non -discretionary arrests
NON -DISCRETIONARY ARRESTS
OR =
minority
white
Total
1.76
no yes Total
29770 41 29811
99037 76 99113
119807 117 11.924
DISCRETIONARY ARRESTS
Multivariate OR = 1.54
Simple OR = 2.50
no yes Total
minority 39049 36 39085
white 99542 45 99577
Total 129581 81 129662
SEARCH REQUESTS
Multivariate OR = 2.15
OR=1.05
no yes Total
minority
142
55
197
white
255
94
349
Total 397 149 546
H ITS
citations
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
arrests
2005 2006 2007 2010 2011 2012 2013
2014 2015
search requests
2005 2006 2007 2010 2011 2012
2013
2014 2015
2006
hit rates
2015
,iff,
Results suggest a degree of racial disproportionality in traffic stops conducted
by the ICPD. A ballpark estimate of the level of disproportionality indicates
that minority drivers were stopped on average about eight percentage points
higher than the observation benchmark values.
Comparatively little traffic stop disproportionality was found in areas of town
where the lion's share of traffic stops were made. Most disproportionality
occurred in areas where stops were less frequent.
Individual officer analyses show that one individual officers' disparity index
values were considerably higher than other officers' values.
SUMMARY
➢ Disproportionality in most stop outcomes decreased in recent years. The single
exception was citations, where disproportionality increased. It should be noted
however, that odds -ratio values for citations were comparatively modest.
➢ During 2016, disproportionality in arrests decreased.
➢ In recent years, officers were about twice as likely to request a voluntary search
from a minority driver as from other drivers. This occurred even though seizures
or hit rates resulting from voluntary searches was about the same for minority
and non -minority drivers.
► Overall, results suggest that the levels of disproportionality in stops and outcomes
is trending lower.
SUMMARY
2017 INFORMATIO
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DAYS
750
500
0
U
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Number of Stops by Zone -- Days
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 1819 20 2122 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 4143 44 45 46 48 49 52 57 59 60 61 62 65
Zone
Ilk -M
v
0.2-
.2 -
0.1-
0.1 -
M
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Police Stops v Benchmarks -- Days
13
20
21
22 27 28
zone
T
30
37
Legend
■ Benchmark
■ Police Stops
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NIGHTS
4000
Number of Stops by Zone -- Nights
C
D
0
U 2000
1000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 121314 15 16 17 18 19 20 2122 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 4143 44 45 46 48 49 52 57 59 60 6162 65
Zone
0.4-
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0.3-
0.3 -
Police Stops v Benchmarks -- Nights
.-0.1 -
M
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13
20
21
22 27 28
zone
29
30
37
Legend
■ Police Stops
■ Benchmark
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INDIVIDUAL OFFIC
DISPROPORTIONA
z
O
1000
500
X
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Officer Index Values
1 2 3 4
Index
Pin
Index
Stops
11
4.43
257
14
4.03
34
30
3.50
524
63
3.26
92
58
3.16
91
OUTCOMES OVER
�0
-1
Citations Odds -Ratios
2005 2006 2007 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Year
3
2
0
Arrests Odds -Ratios
2005 2006 2007 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Year
0
2
0
Search Requests Odds -Ratios
2005 2006 2007 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Year
2
0
-1
-2
-3
2005
2006
Hit Rates Odds -Ratios
2007 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Year
➢ Disproportionality in most stop outcomes decreased in recent years. The single exception was arrests, where
disproportionality slightly increased.
➢ In 2017 officers requested to search a vehicle less than twenty times. This is a notable reduction from
previous years.
➢ Overall, results suggest that the levels of disproportionality in stops and outcomes is trending lower.
➢ Results suggest a degree of racial disproportionality in traffic stops conducted by the ICPD. A
ballpark estimate of the level of disproportionality indicates that minority drivers were stopped on
average about eight percentage points higher than the observation benchmark values.
➢ Comparatively little traffic stop disproportionality was found in areas of town where the lion's
share of traffic stops were made. Most disproportionality occurred in areas where stops were less
frequent.
➢ Individual officer analyses show that one individual officers' disparity index values v
considerably higher than other officers' values.